Ensure farming is profitable and income is predictable through Guaranteed Minimum Returns (GMR)

What PDU has located

The implementing government reports that it has been delivered. PDU has not confirmed this against a second independent source.

The implementing government reports delivery against this promise. PDU has not independently verified it, and no second official source has been matched to it yet.

Outputs reported by government

What the implementer says it produced. These are official claims, recorded as published and not independently confirmed.

• 67% reduction in fertilizer price — from KSh 7,000 to KES 2,500

• 70%+ increase in maize production (44M → 75M+ bags)

• 24.5% reduction in average maize price per 90kg bag (KES 4,729 → 3,569)

• GMR for milk: KES 37 → KES 50 per litre (35% increase)

• 32% increase in tea earnings: KES 138 billion → KES 181.7 billion

• 13% increase in milk production (4.6B → 5.2B litres)

• 92% increase in dairy export value (KES 4.9B → 9.4B)

• 45% increase in meat export value (KES 8.9B → 12.9B)

Outcomes reported by government

Effects the publisher states followed. PDU records these next to the outputs but does not treat that closeness as proof that the outputs caused them. Causation is only asserted where a source establishes it.

• Fertilizer subsidy has reduced production costs, making farming more profitable

  Presented by the publisher as a related outcome. No causal link is asserted.

• Reduction in maize price has improved food security and income stability

  Presented by the publisher as a related outcome. No causal link is asserted.

• Income guarantees give farmers predictable earnings, buffering against market fluctuations

  Presented by the publisher as a related outcome. No causal link is asserted.

• Increased dairy and meat chain productivity has improved farmer livelihoods

  Presented by the publisher as a related outcome. No causal link is asserted.

Why these results are attached here

Published on the same row of the Government Delivery Unit pillars page, under "Deploy Modern Agricultural Risk Management Instruments". The link is the publisher's own, not an inference by PDU.

Projects matched to this promise

No individual project record has been matched to this promise yet. Project-level data enters PDU through a recorded import, as set out in the method statement. Absence of a match here is a statement about what PDU has indexed, not about what exists.

Figures attached to this promise